Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007042 0.007879 0.008792 0.009865 0.011096 0.012465 0.014112
2025-03-30 0.005907 0.007091 0.008493 0.010290 0.012550 0.015320 0.019009
2025-04-06 0.004982 0.006249 0.007832 0.009977 0.012845 0.016596 0.021961
2025-04-13 0.004337 0.005631 0.007315 0.009702 0.013056 0.017686 0.024717
2025-04-20 0.003927 0.005253 0.007041 0.009678 0.013550 0.019162 0.028166
2025-04-27 0.003704 0.005093 0.007030 0.009995 0.014536 0.021433 0.033116
2025-05-04 0.003418 0.004810 0.006807 0.009962 0.014973 0.022904 0.036997
2025-05-11 0.003200 0.004601 0.006665 0.010024 0.015548 0.024639 0.041568
2025-05-18 0.002970 0.004351 0.006433 0.009912 0.015813 0.025876 0.045431
2025-05-25 0.002822 0.004212 0.006356 0.010035 0.016474 0.027860 0.050987
2025-06-01 0.002648 0.004018 0.006174 0.009961 0.016776 0.029228 0.055561
2025-06-08 0.002438 0.003748 0.005847 0.009605 0.016530 0.029540 0.058016
2025-06-15 0.002298 0.003591 0.005702 0.009572 0.016908 0.031160 0.063707
2025-06-22 0.002249 0.003580 0.005803 0.009993 0.018204 0.034807 0.074713
2025-06-29 0.002084 0.003360 0.005527 0.009690 0.018042 0.035421 0.078769
2025-07-06 0.001941 0.003168 0.005284 0.009425 0.017922 0.036104 0.083130
2025-07-13 0.001848 0.003055 0.005173 0.009401 0.018297 0.037925 0.090797
2025-07-20 0.001808 0.003035 0.005228 0.009707 0.019407 0.041590 0.104273
2025-07-27 0.001726 0.002932 0.005120 0.009675 0.019772 0.043553 0.113483
2025-08-03 0.001662 0.002858 0.005061 0.009736 0.020350 0.046126 0.125158
2025-08-10 0.001582 0.002749 0.004928 0.009627 0.020524 0.047699 0.134162
2025-08-17 0.001534 0.002698 0.004903 0.009746 0.021250 0.050831 0.149084
2025-08-24 0.001469 0.002608 0.004794 0.009674 0.021503 0.052734 0.160421